FX
Bitcoin (USD)
The global bitcoin price in dollars, a barometer of risk appetite and liquidity conditions.
At a glance
Bitcoin (USD): latest value and prior change
As of 2026-08-04, Bitcoin (USD) is 64,140 USD. It is 679.3 USD higher than 63,461 USD on 2026-08-03.
Across 182 available observations from 2026-02-04 to 2026-08-04, the latest value is at the tie-adjusted 26th percentile.
- Observed on
- Default comparison window
- 2026-02-04–2026-08-04
- Observations · observed cadence
- 182 · Daily
- Data source
- Yahoo Finance
A high or low percentile does not by itself make the indicator positive, negative, or a buy or sell signal.
Time-series chart
Bitcoin (USD)
2026-02-04–2026-08-04
Long-history series are stored as real provider observations. Index, FX, VIX, and ratio charts use historical backfill where providers expose it; Korean investor flow and margin-credit feeds expand as stable historical endpoints become available.
Interpretation guide
Bitcoin in dollars: the front line of global liquidity and risk appetite
The dollar price of bitcoin trades around the clock on global exchanges. With a fixed supply, it attracts both debasement hedgers and volatility-seeking speculators, and because it reacts to liquidity shifts earlier and harder than equities, it is widely watched as a leading thermometer of risk appetite.
What moves the price
With no earnings or dividends, bitcoin's price is purely flows and liquidity. It behaves as a high-beta asset: first to rally when dollar liquidity loosens, first to wobble when tightening bites.
- US real rates and the dollar index set the medium-term backdrop.
- Spot ETF flows have become the key gauge of institutional demand.
- Halving cycles slow supply growth and act as a structural long-term backdrop.
The relationship with equities
Bitcoin's correlation with the Nasdaq has been high for years, but with several times the amplitude. It therefore often reveals liquidity shifts before equities do, and sharp breaks read as an early warning for risk assets broadly.
- Bitcoin and the Nasdaq rallying together adds credibility to a liquidity-driven market.
- Bitcoin breaking down while stocks hold can be an early sign of liquidity withdrawal.
- Read it alongside the Fed balance sheet and reverse repo for the liquidity backdrop.
Uses and misreads
Bitcoin's volatility is on a different scale from equities — equity-style stop and sizing rules do not transfer. As a market signal, read trends and cross-asset combinations, not single-day moves.
- Corrections of 20-30% recur even inside bull markets; treat them as normal variance.
- Pair it with the kimchi premium to gauge domestic Korean speculative heat.
- Altcoin frenzies during late rallies are a classic late-cycle marker.