Commodity
Coffee
The front-month ICE arabica coffee futures price in US cents per pound. A benchmark soft commodity that swings with Brazilian and Vietnamese harvests and extreme weather, it front-runs global food inflation and cost pressure across the coffee chain.
Latest
324.3 US cents/lb
-0.10 US cents/lb
At a glance
Coffee: latest value and prior change
As of 2026-09-04, Coffee is 324.3 US cents/lb. It is 0.10 US cents/lb lower than 324.4 US cents/lb on 2026-09-03.
Within the default comparison window of 1,000 observations from 2022-09-15 to 2026-09-04, the latest value is at the tie-adjusted 72nd percentile. Available history covers 2000-01-03 to 2026-09-04 with 6,688 observations.
- Observed on
- Default comparison window
- 2022-09-15–2026-09-04
- Observations · observed cadence
- 1,000 · Daily
- Data source
- Yahoo Finance
A high or low percentile does not by itself make the indicator positive, negative, or a buy or sell signal.
Time-series chart
Coffee
2000-01-03–2026-09-04
Long-history series are stored as real provider observations. Index, FX, VIX, and ratio charts use historical backfill where providers expose it; Korean investor flow and margin-credit feeds expand as stable historical endpoints become available.
Recent observations and calculated changes
The ten latest chart observations. Change subtracts the previous observation; intervals vary with holidays, release schedules and missing data. A difference in rates or ratios is not an investment return.
| Observed | Value | Previous date | Difference (current − previous) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | 324.3 US cents/lb | 2026-09-03 | -0.10 US cents/lb |
| 2026-09-03 | 324.4 US cents/lb | 2026-09-02 | -4.05 US cents/lb |
| 2026-09-02 | 328.4 US cents/lb | 2026-09-01 | -13.85 US cents/lb |
| 2026-09-01 | 342.3 US cents/lb | 2026-08-31 | -1.65 US cents/lb |
| 2026-08-31 | 343.9 US cents/lb | 2026-08-28 | -1.95 US cents/lb |
| 2026-08-28 | 345.9 US cents/lb | 2026-08-27 | 3.95 US cents/lb |
| 2026-08-27 | 341.9 US cents/lb | 2026-08-26 | -15.70 US cents/lb |
| 2026-08-26 | 357.6 US cents/lb | 2026-08-25 | -13.80 US cents/lb |
| 2026-08-25 | 371.4 US cents/lb | 2026-08-24 | -6.35 US cents/lb |
| 2026-08-24 | 377.8 US cents/lb | 2026-08-21 | 19.00 US cents/lb |
Source: Yahoo Finance
Interpretation guide
Coffee futures: weather-driven swings in the benchmark soft
Coffee futures trade in US cents per pound on ICE arabica. With supply concentrated in Brazil and Vietnam, a single frost or drought can double the price — the classic weather commodity, ruled by harvest news rather than rates or the business cycle.
What to check
Coffee spikes are almost always supply events, not demand. Brazilian frost damage, Vietnamese drought, and El Niño-La Niña cycles have produced the recurring surges, so the first question on any move is which origin is in trouble.
- Frost news around Brazil's May-September harvest has historically been the biggest spike trigger.
- Vietnam grows robusta, so robusta-led surges hit instant and budget coffee costs first.
- A trending decline in certified warehouse stocks means vulnerability to spikes is building.
Interpretation rules
Coffee correlates weakly with the broad commodity complex, so read it apart from the general cycle. The dollar and the Brazilian real are the shared variables that matter, since they change producers' incentive to sell.
- A weak real encourages Brazilian farmer selling and caps rallies.
- Coffee surging together with sugar and cocoa points to a common climate factor, not a crop story.
- After a spike, watch whether backwardation persists until origin supply is confirmed recovering.
How to apply it
Coffee prices feed into Korean dining and processed-food CPI and into coffee-chain input costs with a lag. Its value as an indicator is less about calling direction than about seeing food-inflation pressure build early.
- Futures spikes tend to pass into retail coffee prices and cafe costs with a six-to-twelve-month lag.
- In surge phases, separate companies with heavy bean-cost exposure from those with pricing power.
- Climate-event spikes retrace quickly once supply recovery is confirmed — plan for that.