Global Risk Regime

A percentile-based risk regime view across US equities, volatility, credit, rates, and dollar pressure.

Regime score

50

Risk-offNeutralRisk-on

Neutral: selective exposure

Leadership is selective. Prefer confirmed participation over broad beta.

Data confidence93

2026.10.28 00:39 KST

Dashboard use standard

Dashboards are checklists, not conclusions.

TapeFlow dashboards split market regime, macro pressure, and sector flow into separate questions. Readers are not asked to follow one score; they can compare component indicators, latest dates, data confidence, and related radar views before sizing risk.

Component indicators and latest dates
Confidence and data gaps
Related radar and detail pages

Equity trend

-0.1%

S&P 500 1M, Nasdaq -2.4%

Percentile 29p2026-10-26

Volatility

18.4

VIX percentile. Lower is more risk-on.

Percentile 68p2026-10-26

Credit stress

3.71x

HY OAS / IG OAS. Lower means calmer credit.

Percentile 84p2026-10-23

Yield curve

0.32 pp

10Y-2Y. Higher is less cyclical stress.

Percentile 60p2026-10-26

Real rate

-0.27%

Fed Funds minus CPI YoY. Lower helps growth valuations.

Percentile 29p2026-09-01

Options sentiment

0.86

Put/call percentile. Lower means lighter hedging demand.

Percentile 48p2026-10-26

Leverage

-1.5%

FINRA margin debt 3-month change

Percentile --2026-09-30

Dollar pressure

-3.3%

USD/KRW 1M change. Higher is a risk-asset headwind.

Percentile 12p2026-10-27

Cross-asset tape

Equity trend vs risk pricing

Factor tape

Risk budget factor scores

Equity trend
29
Volatility
32
Credit stress
16
Yield curve
60
Real rate
71
Options sentiment
52
Leverage
--
Dollar pressure
88

US breadth

US Market Breadth

2026-10-27

NYSE breadth

NYSE

51.5 %

NASDAQ breadth

NASDAQ

55.6 %

AMEX breadth

AMEX

44.4 %

US new-high leadership

US 52-Week Highs + Turnover

2026-10-27

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation

NYSE

$2.0B

Charles River Laboratories International, Inc.

NYSE

$420M

Tenable Holdings, Inc.

NASDAQ

$301M

Braze, Inc.

NASDAQ

$287M

Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.

NASDAQ

$158M

US mega-cap concentration

US Mega-Cap Concentration

2026-10-27

Top 10 US Mega-Caps

US

29.9 %

NVIDIA Corporation

NASDAQ

5.3 %

Apple Inc.

NASDAQ

5.1 %

Microsoft Corporation

NASDAQ

4 %

Alphabet Inc.

NASDAQ

3.9 %

Portfolio checklist

Above 68 with confidence above 80, favor trend and leadership exposure.

Below 38, stay defensive until at least two stress signals improve.

When confidence is low, verify freshness and missing inputs before sizing positions.